$11.5 billion in a single week
Two weeks ago, on the 4th of May, OpenAI and Anthropic both announced multi-billion dollar consulting ventures.
OpenAI launched a $10 billion deployment company. Anthropic announced its own services firm, backed by Blackstone, Goldman Sachs, and Sequoia. The same week, Anthropic also launched Claude for Small Business with 31 pre-built workflows plugged into QuickBooks, PayPal, HubSpot, and Microsoft 365, and rolled out a free training tour across ten US cities. Combined, that is $11.5 billion targeting the consulting industry in a single week.
The two most valuable AI companies in the world just spent $11.5 billion agreeing that you cannot deploy AI without humans embedded in your business. The technology is not the bottleneck. The deployment is.
The value gap
This is the thing I have been turning over in my head all year.
95% of generative AI pilots fail to deliver measurable value. That came out of an MIT study in mid-2025, looking at enterprise AI pilots across the US. Nineteen out of twenty pilots, no measurable return.
88% of organisations are using AI. Only 6% are capturing meaningful value from it. That came out of McKinsey's State of AI 2025, surveying almost 2,000 organisations across more than 100 countries.
Eighty-eight percent in. Six percent out.
More recent research has confirmed the pattern. Writer published their 2026 AI Adoption in the Enterprise survey in April. 2,400 knowledge workers, 1,200 C-suite executives, across the US, UK, Ireland, Benelux, France and Germany. 79% of executives now report struggling with AI adoption, up from 60% the year before. A double-digit increase in a single year. Adoption is near-universal. Value capture is rare.
These numbers just seem so wild.
So what is going wrong, and what can we do to fix it?
I have some thoughts.
Three things have to be aligned
If we look at how AI adoption succeeds when it succeeds, this is what we know.
Three things have to be aligned for AI to deliver value.
Domain expertise. The knowledge of your industry. How your business runs. What the regulations require. What the operational rhythm of a season looks like.
Human adoption. How people work in practice. The trust your team needs in a tool before they will rely on it. The accountability your customers expect. The policy that gets followed, not the one that sits in a folder nobody opens.
Technology. The models, the platforms, the agent orchestration. The audit and governance layer.
When all three come together, and only when all three come together, AI adoption succeeds.
When one is missing, here is what happens.
If you have domain expertise and human adoption, but no technology, you get invisible adoption. People are using AI on their own with no structure, governance, or organisational benefit. This is most of our industry right now.
If you have domain expertise and technology, but no human adoption, you get built but unused. The tool gets bought. The investment gets made. Nobody uses it.
If you have human adoption and technology, but no domain expertise, you get the wrong problem solved. Generic AI applied to a specific operation. The wrong solution provided. This is what happens when vendors lead.
Pre-built is the floor. Maritime-specific is the ceiling.
This is where it gets interesting for our industry.
Pre-built workflows like the ones Anthropic launched are for general business. What they cannot do is understand the regulatory weight of an ISM audit. Or the seasonal rhythm of a charter operation. Or the weight of ship's information that is not strictly confidential but whose disclosure carries reputational risk.
Pre-built is the floor. Maritime-specific is the ceiling. The work I do sits between those two.
Most of us in this room already have a head start on two of the three. We understand our industry deeply. We know how to bring teams along through change. Our industry is built on managing operational transitions.
What is missing is the integration piece. Taking what you know about your operation and translating it into how AI gets deployed inside it. That is the bridge most organisations have not yet built. Vendors do not have your operational knowledge. Your team does not yet have the AI knowledge. The integration sits in the middle, and it is the work I help with.
This is where I think the 95% figure comes from. Pilots fail when domain knowledge and AI capability never meet.
Across the last twelve months, working with maritime businesses, here is what I have noticed
The chasm is widening.
The people I talk to in the AI community are losing sleep over this. They are running at a level of detail and pace that the leaders in maritime organisations I work with have little time to track. The gap between those two worlds is widening. You can do everything you can to learn AI on your own. But, and I say this as gently as I can, you will not get there with the time and focus available, unless you do one of three things: free up more of your own time to focus on this; nominate someone in your organisation and free up their time to focus on this; or work with someone external, like me, who can filter what you need to know and turn it into something you can put into practice.
How your business is found has changed.
AI chat windows are answering questions on behalf of users instead of returning ten blue links like the days of traditional SEO. Whether your business is discovered depends on whether the AI's picture of your entity is accurate, complete, and consistent across every platform. I had to do this work for myself. There is another Kristina Agustin. She is a California realtor. Until I strategically addressed this, Google AI could not tell which me was connected with Southern Sky AI and which was a realtor. I was not impressed and took this on as a personal mission to rectify, to my family's entertainment. Being findable in 2026 is making sure the AI knows exactly who you are, what you do, and which Kristina is the right one.
Context matters more than prompting now.
A year ago we were learning to write good prompts. Today the models work out what we mean. What matters now is the context. Your documents, your data, your written instructions, locked and loaded so they inject into everything you do. This is not about uploading documents to chat, or how your model starts to know your preferences over time. Context engineering is deliberate. You decide what the model sees, when, and in what order, and you design your systems around it.
AI is already being used invisibly in almost every organisation I have met with.
And it is more than just data risk. A recent conversation with a maritime CEO described it as a habit risk. People are getting stuck in habits with certain tools that may not be ideal for their entire operation, and using them in ways leadership does not understand. By the time leadership decides to implement a strategy around certain tools and systems, the behaviour has hardened and change management becomes more challenging. McKinsey found that employees are using AI three times more than their leaders think they are.
People have a limited understanding of what AI governance is.
Which is fair enough, because I did not understand it either to start with, and I am a lawyer. The term is confusing. AI governance is the whole system you put around AI in your business. It includes a policy, the rules about who can use AI, what they can put into it, what it is allowed to do with company data. But it is more than just the policy. It is also what gets tracked, what gets logged, whether decisions made with AI can be reviewed six months from now, whether your team knows AI was used, whether your clients know, who is accountable when something goes wrong, and how often the rules get revisited as the technology changes. A policy is the speed limit sign. Governance is the sign plus the camera, plus the licence points, plus the review of road safety every five years. The sign on its own does nothing if nothing is tracking it. Most people in our industry are deeply aware of the sensitivity of owner and client data. Most have not known how to engage with AI without accidentally leaking private information. So they have either not used AI at all, or used it on best judgment. Best judgment is not a policy. It is not defensible, trackable, or repeatable.
People still think AI is the chat window.
It is not. The best analogy I came up with is a food truck. The kitchen inside the food truck is the intelligence. That is the brain. The AI. The question is how you get to it.
The chat window is the front of the truck. You queue, you order, you wait. This is what most people mean when they say they are using AI.
Plugging AI into your systems through something like an API is a different access point. You are the Uber Eats driver. You go to the side door. The staff hand the order directly to you. Same kitchen. Same intelligence. Faster, plugged into the flow of your operation.
When people say AI, they usually mean the front window. The real value sits at the side door. And once you are at the side door, you start running into agents.
An easy way to remember what an agent does, I call it DROID.
- -D is decide. The agent decides what it is you are asking it to do.
- -R and O are reach out. The agent connects to tools, gathers information, collects what it needs to do the task.
- -I is iterate. It marinates on the information to produce a result.
- -And D is deliver. It puts the information or analysis into a form that you request.
One agent does one thing. The real power is when you chain them together. Many agents, taking small pieces of the work, to produce a more complex result. With a human in the loop checking the work.
There is a quiet misunderstanding between organisational AI and individual subscriptions.
The organisation believes it is using AI. But in reality there are nine private workflows nobody can see, audit, or govern. An enterprise subscription is closer to the right thing, but it is still not the same as organisational AI adoption.
Here is the way I think about this. There are two kinds of AI adoption.
The first is personal AI capability — the individual getting faster, individual subscriptions, personal prompts, how each person works with it. That is great, and important, and often the first step.
The second is structural AI adoption — the business itself is changing, with mapped systems where AI already lives in your operation, documented processes that get knowledge out of heads and into a form the organisation can use, a governance framework with policy, boundaries and accountability, workflows and integrations with AI inside the operation, and defined use cases built from operational need, not from what subscriptions you can buy.
Most leaders are doing one when they need to be doing both. The question of where AI fits, what it connects to, who governs it, is bigger than which subscription you buy. It is a different animal entirely.
Questions Raised
From a room of more than 100 attendees, maritime leaders across the superyacht, marina, export and commercial aspects of the Australian maritime industry, these were the questions that stood out.
People are moving between models. Are we waiting for a clear leader before we commit?
I do not think the answer is what model wins, because the answer changes almost by the day. The way to handle it is to stop relying on the model to remember what it knows about you. Build a DNA file. Everything the model should know about you, your business, what you are trying to achieve. Point the model at that file every time. That is what context engineering is. Stay model-agnostic as much as you can. If you are working on more complex problems, break the work up into projects, with a folder per project, and fill each folder with the relevant data and knowledge. You will notice the answers get much more accurate and specific.
What happens when one person writes the agent code the rest of the organisation comes to rely on, and only they know how it was built?
The first step is always have redundancy in any organisation. Easy to say, not so easy to do, because there is not yet an abundance of people who understand how this all goes together. You can back the code up to a repository like GitHub. And what I like to encourage, and see as an important part of working with businesses going forward, is to have what I call an AI champion in-house. It might not be one person. It might be two or three. Having those people learning and coming along for the ride is the answer.
How do we get leadership on board when leadership does not have the time?
The three options I gave earlier are the honest answer. Free up your own time. Nominate someone and free up theirs. Or work with someone external. There is no fourth option that works. This is the thing I have found hardest about the last year. I am running at one pace, in one community, where this is normal. The leaders I most want to help are running at a different pace, in a different community, where there is not enough time. Sometimes I feel like Chicken Little. Sometimes I am not sure if the right move is to wait until something forces the conversation, or to keep saying it gently until the room is ready. The $11.5 billion the labs spent in May suggests I am not the only one trying to work that out.
If an AI agent writes a CV and another AI agent is filtering CVs, are we just getting AI talking to AI?
Yes, and you have to engineer against it. The model is not intelligent. It is a mathematical machine looking at the highest probability of an outcome based on what it has been trained on. Past data carries past bias. If 98.5% of people successful in a role up to this point were men, the model will infer that men have a higher rate of success and weight accordingly. You have to be aware of it and engineer against it. Force a 50-50 split on the data set. Apply positive constraints. Where AI is making decisions that affect a person's rights or interests, you are about to have a legal obligation in Australia to disclose what data the system is using and what kinds of decisions it is making. From 10 December this year. The speed limit sign has been there for years. From December, the camera goes live.
Are you aware of the legislation coming in December?
If your turnover is above three million dollars in Australia, you are an APP entity. From 10 December this year, you must disclose what personal information your AI systems use, the kinds of decisions they make, and where those decisions could significantly affect someone's rights or interests. The obligation captures systems you already have running today. This is policy work and mapping work. Understanding what your AI is touching, what decisions it is making, and stepping back to decide whether you want it touching those decisions at all. Hiring is the example I expect to see real pressure on first.
And one more thing
ASMEX 2026 marked the first anniversary of Southern Sky AI.
I have had the privilege of working with many of the people who were in that room on getting started over the past year. To mark the anniversary, I have opened the Compass AI Pilot to founding attendees of the conference first. It is a short, focused engagement that produces one working AI agent for one task inside your business, so you can see what is possible inside your own operation before deciding anything else. It begins with a no-cost scoping conversation where we work out together whether the task is the right one to start with.
Capacity is capped. Scoping conversations through June. First deployments in July and August.
For organisations thinking about the full Compass AI Blueprint or Navigator pathway, the structured engagement across policy, governance, and operational integration, please email me directly.
The Pilot scoping link is southernsky.ai/pilot-scoping. The full resource page from the talk, including the timeline references and reading list, is at southernsky.ai/asmex.
This last year has caused me deep existential thought and analysis on more than one occasion. I am energised by the possibilities and the pace of the technology. I am moved by the governance gap. And I am motivated by the fact that the window to do this well is still open.
It is possible to adopt AI in your organisation now, deliberately, with structure, and in control.
Our industry is built on exceptionalism. AI adoption demands the same.
Thank you to David Good and the Superyacht Australia team for the platform, and to everyone who came up afterwards.
Kristina Agustin is the Founder and Principal Digital Navigator of Southern Sky AI. The Chart Room Dispatch is a weekly Sunday newsletter on AI for maritime leaders. Subscribe at southernsky.ai/dispatch.
Further Reading
$11.5 billion in a single week
- OpenAI finalises $10 billion joint venture to deploy AI, Bloomberg, 4 May 2026 — bloomberg.com
- OpenAI launches AI consulting arm valued at $14 billion, Axios, 11 May 2026 — axios.com
- Anthropic services firm announcement, partnered with Blackstone, Goldman Sachs, Hellman & Friedman, and Sequoia — coverage via Bloomberg, 4 May 2026
- Claude for Small Business, Anthropic — May 2026 launch, 31 pre-built workflows for QuickBooks, PayPal, HubSpot, Microsoft 365 and others — anthropic.com
The value gap
- The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business 2025, MIT NANDA, July 2025 — mlq.ai. Authors: Aditya Challapally, Chris Pease, Ramesh Raskar, Pradyumna Chari.
- The State of AI in 2025: Agents, Innovation, and Transformation, McKinsey & Company, November 2025 — 1,993 organisations across 105 countries — mckinsey.com
- 2026 AI Adoption in the Enterprise, Writer in partnership with Workplace Intelligence, April 2026 — writer.com
Three things have to be aligned
- 2025 Enterprise AI Adoption Survey, Writer, 2025 — 1,600 knowledge workers + 800 C-suite leaders; 80% successful adoption with a formal AI strategy vs 37% without — writer.com
- The Domain Expertise · Human Adoption · Technology framing is original to Southern Sky AI.
The twelve-month timeline and legislative references
- OSWorld Benchmark — peer-reviewed evaluation suite for desktop AI agents — os-world.github.io
- Claude 4, 4.5, 4.6, 4.7 and Mythos preview — Anthropic model releases, May 2025 through April 2026 — anthropic.com/news
- Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 — The Artificial Intelligence Act — in force 1 August 2024 — artificialintelligenceact.eu
- OpenAI GPT-5, released 7 August 2025 — openai.com
- Guidance for AI Adoption, Australian Government Department of Industry, Science and Resources, October 2025 — industry.gov.au
- National AI Plan, Australian Government, December 2025 — industry.gov.au
- Privacy Act 1988 (Cth) amendments effective 10 December 2026 — automated decision-making disclosure obligations for APP entities — oaic.gov.au
- Microsoft Agent 365 — announced November 2025, generally available May 2026 — microsoft.com
- Microsoft Copilot Cowork — launched March 2026 — microsoft.com
- Anthropic becomes Microsoft sub-processor — March 2026 — anthropic.com/news
- Model Context Protocol (MCP) donated to the Linux Foundation, December 2025 — modelcontextprotocol.io
- METR — capability time horizon doubling research, 2025 — metr.org





